Introduction: Markets remain jittery
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
Market jitters have not abated, after a disappointing end to trading on Wall Street last night.
European markets are set to open with a bump, wiping out some of yesterday’s recovery.
Investors are anxious after a bright start on the New York exchange faded by the close last night. The S&P 500 index fell 0.77% by close of trading, having been up 1% in early trading after dovish noises from the Bank of Japan supported shares earlier on Wednesday.
That weakness has worried traders. Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, sums up the mood:
The US stock market wobbled and wavered on Wednesday, ultimately fizzling out as the day’s recovery hopes melted away like a popsicle in the summer sun.
Nvidia and other tech behemoths kicked off the day with gusto but quickly lost steam as if deciding to take an unexpected afternoon snooze. This lethargy led to a broader market slump.
There remains anxiety that US policymakers may not pull off a ‘soft landing’, as they try to cool inflation without causing a recession. Geopolitical tensions are another worry.
Innes adds:
The potential for a broader U.S. economic slowdown, misaligned global monetary policies, and the bubbling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East cast long, ominous shadows across financial markets.
Furthermore, the U.S. political election looms, potentially turning the markets into more of a chaotic mosh pit than a graceful waltz.
Prepare for a potentially “Turbulent Thursday” and brace for what might become a “Frantic Friday.”
IT firm Super Micro Computer led the Wall Street rout, falling 20% after its latest results missed analyst expectations.
This has pushed stocks down in Asia, where Japan’s Nikkei is down 0.75% and South Korea’s Kospi has lose 0.7%.
European markets are set to open lower too:
The latest US weekly jobless claims data, due before Wall Street reopens, will set the mood. Economists expect around 240,000 new claims for unemployment benefit, down from 249,000 the previous week.
Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at capital.com, explains:
Whether we see further volatility in the short term mostly depends on tonight’s US jobless claims number.
In a week lacking significant event risk, the jobless claims in the most critical piece of information the markets are likely to receive, especially given that the plunge in equities was stoked by data signalling the US labour market could be rolling over.
The agenda
-
9.30am BST: UK mortgage and landlord possession statistics for April-June
11am BST: Ireland’s inflation report for July -
1.30pm BST: Weekly US jobless claims
Key events
Global markets settle into a yo-yo pattern
With volatility high, global markets are settling into “a yo-yo pattern” as volatility remains high, says Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown:
“Markets may have simmered down but this roller-coaster week isn’t over yet. UK markets opened lower in a move that unwinds a good chunk of yesterday’s gains.
Corporate earnings are starting to slow but there’s plenty for traders to get their teeth into.
Deliveroo hit two of its major financial milestones over the first half centred around positive free cash flow and profitability. Commentary suggested encouraging behaviour from those looking for a quick bite to eat, but second quarter volumes were weaker than expected across both the UK and international markets.
Elsewhere, Ladbrokes owner Entain delivered a good half and upped guidance, while Persimmon saw a boost from higher selling prices – more detailed comments below.
US futures point to a muted open today after major indices lost ground yesterday.
Gambling group Entain are also among the small group of risers in London this morning; its shares are up almost 10%.
Entain lifted its profit forecast for the year this morning. It now expects small growth in online net gaming revenues, having previously forecast a small decline, and an EBITDA profit of £1,040m-£1,090m.
Entain, which owns Ladbrokes, Coral and BetMGM, said its performance in the first half of this year was ahead of expectations, partly thanks to stronger than expected profit margins in the UEFA Euros mens football tournament.
European markets are a sea of red again.
This morning, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index has lost 1.2% as its choppy week continues, with Germany’s DAX down 0.95% and France’s CAC shedding 1.05%.
Banks and tech firms are leading the fallers on the Stoxx 600.
Elsewhere in the building sector, the merger of Barratt and Redrow has hit a snag.
The Competition and Markets Authority is concerned that the deal would create competition issues in the local area around a Barratt development in Whitchurch, Shropshire, which is close to Redrow’s development at Kingsbourne in Nantwich.
If the deal goes ahead, the CMA found that it could lead to higher prices and lower quality homes for homebuyers in this catchment area.
More broadly, though, the CMA does not have UK-wide competition concerns. It wants the housebuilders to offer proposals which address its concerns around the Whitchurch site.
Joel Bamford, executive director for mergers at the CMA, said:
Prospective homebuyers must not be disadvantaged as a result of deals like this one – with the potential loss of competition leading to even higher house prices or lower quality homes.
Our initial investigation found concerns specifically in one area in and around Whitchurch, the companies now have the opportunity to agree workable solutions which address our concerns rather than move to a more in-depth investigation.
Persimmon upbeat on homebuilding target
UK housebuilder Persimmon is aiming to build more than 10,000 new houses this year.
Persimmon has reported that it’s on track to complete 10,500 houses this financial year, which is at the top end of its previous guidance.
In the first half of this year, completions are up 5% at 4,445 to new homes.
Persimmon says it is encouraged by the Labour government’s plans, particularly around planning, adding:
Consumer confidence continues to improve leading to a strong pick up in enquiries and visitors, which will be further supported by the recent cut to the Bank of England base rate.
Shares in Persimmon are up 2.3%, making it a rare riser on the FTSE 100 in early trading.
FTSE 100 down 1%
As feared, stocks in London have fallen back with a bump.
The blue-chip FTSE 100 share index is down 92 points in early trading, a drop of 1.1%, to 8075 points.
That reverses more than half of Wednesday’s rally, which had taken the index back near its levels at the end of last week.
The smaller FTSE 250 share index is also down over 1%.
Shares in Deliveroo have jumped 6% at the start of trading as investors welcome the news that it made a profit in the first half of the year.
They’ve risen to 135.5p, meaning they’re also up around 6% so far this year.
But, those who bought shares in Deliveroo’s flotation three years ago are still facing a loss, having bought at 390p.
Deliveroo has also announced a new £150 million share buyback programme, which it says “reflects financial progress in the last year and confidence in the outlook”.
Deliveroo hits profit milestone in H1 2024
Delivery group Deliveroo has hit its goal of making a profit, at least for the first six months of the year.
Deliveroo has reported a profit of £1m for the first half of the financial year, up from a loss of £83m in H1 2023.
This looks to be its first half-year profit since the company floated on the stock market in 2021.
Will Shu, founder and CEO of Deliveroo, said changes such as improving its loyalty programme had helped:
“I am pleased with the performance we have achieved this half, which was driven by effective execution of our growth and profitability initiatives.
As a result, we reached two major financial milestones: positive free cash flow and positive profit for the period.”
Total orders rose 2% in the quarter, while the gross transaction value (GTV) of each order rose 5%.
Shu says:
Looking ahead, while there is continued uncertainty in the external environment, I am encouraged by the inflection we are currently seeing in consumer behaviour in many of our markets
Introduction: Markets remain jittery
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
Market jitters have not abated, after a disappointing end to trading on Wall Street last night.
European markets are set to open with a bump, wiping out some of yesterday’s recovery.
Investors are anxious after a bright start on the New York exchange faded by the close last night. The S&P 500 index fell 0.77% by close of trading, having been up 1% in early trading after dovish noises from the Bank of Japan supported shares earlier on Wednesday.
That weakness has worried traders. Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, sums up the mood:
The US stock market wobbled and wavered on Wednesday, ultimately fizzling out as the day’s recovery hopes melted away like a popsicle in the summer sun.
Nvidia and other tech behemoths kicked off the day with gusto but quickly lost steam as if deciding to take an unexpected afternoon snooze. This lethargy led to a broader market slump.
There remains anxiety that US policymakers may not pull off a ‘soft landing’, as they try to cool inflation without causing a recession. Geopolitical tensions are another worry.
Innes adds:
The potential for a broader U.S. economic slowdown, misaligned global monetary policies, and the bubbling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East cast long, ominous shadows across financial markets.
Furthermore, the U.S. political election looms, potentially turning the markets into more of a chaotic mosh pit than a graceful waltz.
Prepare for a potentially “Turbulent Thursday” and brace for what might become a “Frantic Friday.”
IT firm Super Micro Computer led the Wall Street rout, falling 20% after its latest results missed analyst expectations.
This has pushed stocks down in Asia, where Japan’s Nikkei is down 0.75% and South Korea’s Kospi has lose 0.7%.
European markets are set to open lower too:
The latest US weekly jobless claims data, due before Wall Street reopens, will set the mood. Economists expect around 240,000 new claims for unemployment benefit, down from 249,000 the previous week.
Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at capital.com, explains:
Whether we see further volatility in the short term mostly depends on tonight’s US jobless claims number.
In a week lacking significant event risk, the jobless claims in the most critical piece of information the markets are likely to receive, especially given that the plunge in equities was stoked by data signalling the US labour market could be rolling over.
The agenda
-
9.30am BST: UK mortgage and landlord possession statistics for April-June
11am BST: Ireland’s inflation report for July -
1.30pm BST: Weekly US jobless claims